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Why Some Sponsors Hold Properties Long Term

Some sponsors hold because the business model is built on annual cash flow and on buying more buildings, and because their capital has no fund-style clock forcing a sale. A longer hold also gives the owner more years to collect the savings from upgrades and more room to test a property against long-term value. The cost is tied-up capital, thin resale markets for private interests, and a need for partners who share the same horizon.

Cash flow as the return, and the owner who plans never to sell

Apartment aggregation firms generally plan to hold for long periods, collect annual cash flow, and use that stability to acquire additional buildings. In that model the sale does not pay the investor. The yearly distribution is the product, and each new building adds to it.

Some owners screen for stable cash flow first and treat real estate as a patient asset. Others go further and rule out sales altogether, buying only what they believe will hold long-term value across generations.

Single family offices often pursue long-term multifamily ownership for cash flow, with tax and appreciation benefits as added reasons. Tax treatment depends on the owner and the jurisdiction, so it varies case by case.

A veteran separates two numbers here. Net operating income is revenue less operating expenses, before debt service and capital spending. Cash to equity is what remains after loan payments and reserves, and only that figure funds the next acquisition.

“First, we never sell. We look for properties in New York that we believe will have long-term value for generations to come.”

LEADERS Interview with William C. Rudin, Co-Chair and Chief Executive Officer

How a long-hold designation changes the way a property is tested

Public owners that classify a property as a long-term hold test it for impairment by estimating undiscounted future NOI plus a terminal value, including anticipated development costs.

Undiscounted cash flows are simply summed, with no present value adjustment. A property planned for many more years of ownership therefore carries more projected NOI into the test than one planned for a near sale.

The test moves with the plan. Changing the intended hold changes the cash flow stream that gets projected, so the hold assumption sits inside the analysis and is not a footnote to it.

The capital behind the property sets the clock

Family offices can hold and manage property through a full cycle. Funds typically seek exits so they can distribute returns to limited partners. The same building can fit one owner’s horizon and clash with the other’s distribution schedule.

Family offices may also be comfortable with limited liquidity and a long investing horizon. That comfort has a price on the other side of the table: private equity sellers may have to discount their interests substantially to exit, because relatively few buyers exist in the secondary market.

Wealthy families have made long-term investments in hard assets such as timber, commercial property, apartment complexes, and an international shipping company. The common thread is capital that does not need to be returned on a fixed date.

Why the expected hold period decides whether an upgrade gets built

Whether an owner invests in energy upgrades depends partly on the expected hold period, because longer ownership lets the owner capture more of the savings.

An upgrade buys a stream of lower operating costs. Every year the owner keeps the property is a year that stream belongs to that owner. After a sale, the remaining years belong to the buyer, and the seller recovers them only to the extent the price reflects them.

The hold period therefore works as a direct input to payback. The worked example below runs the same upgrade over two ownership periods.

Worked example: one $200,000 energy upgrade held for five years or ten years

Illustrative example with hypothetical figures. An apartment owner spends $200,000 on an energy upgrade that cuts operating costs by $30,000 per year. Both cases use the same cost and the same savings. The comparison leaves out financing and tax effects. It also leaves out discounting and any change in sale price, so it isolates the savings captured during ownership.

Base case, five year hold: $30,000 multiplied by 5 equals $150,000 of savings. Subtract the $200,000 cost and the result is minus $50,000. The owner has not recovered the spend.

Alternative case, ten year hold: $30,000 multiplied by 10 equals $300,000 of savings. Subtract the same $200,000 and the result is $100,000.

The crossover sits between those two holds. After 6 years the savings total $180,000, which is minus $20,000 against cost. After 7 years the savings total $210,000, which is $10,000 above cost. On these inputs, an owner expecting to sell before the seventh year does not recover the spend from savings alone.

Real decisions add discounting, tax effects, and whatever a buyer will pay for lower operating costs. Those items can move the crossover in either direction, so the simple count above is a screen and not a valuation.

Fees, co-invest, and who actually wants to keep holding

Holding is a decision made by people, and their incentives differ. Getting principals to hold long term often requires a cycle in which the fees they can personally take exceed their co-invest.

The arithmetic behind that is direct. If a principal’s fee income is small relative to the capital committed alongside investors, recovering that capital depends on distributions from operations, refinancing or sale. If fee income covers or exceeds the co-invest, the principal can be paid while the asset is still held.

Partner fit as part of the hold

Some families choose development partners whose culture and long-term ownership philosophy match their own. A long hold lasts through several business plans, and a partner with a shorter horizon can force a decision the other side does not want.

The terms that carry this are how cash is reinvested or distributed, when capital calls can be made, and who decides on a sale. Differences there rarely show up until the first major decision point.

Mistakes in long-hold analysis

Treating annual cash flow as a total return mixes property operations with investor proceeds. NOI sits before debt service and capital spending, so cash reaching equity can be much smaller, and value change is a separate item from yearly income.

Counting all of an upgrade’s savings for the current owner overstates the benefit when a sale is likely. Only the years actually owned belong in the owner’s payback, as the example shows: the same upgrade is a loss at five years and a gain at ten.

Assuming a durable building means an easy exit confuses asset quality with liquidity of the interest. A private interest can have few secondary buyers, and a seller may have to take a substantial discount.

Applying one horizon to every capital source misses the structural difference between a fund that distributes realized proceeds to limited partners and a family office able to hold through a full cycle.

Reading a never sell statement as a rule for all assets overstates it. It reflects one owner’s selection of properties for long-term value, and it says nothing about whether a given building fits that test.

Checklist questions that test whether a long hold fits

How many years of upgrade savings will the current owner collect? The expected hold period sets how much of the benefit stays with the owner.

Does the capital source need realized proceeds on a schedule? Fund distribution obligations can set a timetable that the property’s operations do not.

Can the investors accept limited liquidity in their interests? A thin secondary market can force a discount on early exit.

Do the principals earn enough in fees relative to their co-invest to stay patient? The balance between the two can determine whether a sale becomes necessary.

Are the owners and operating partners aligned on reinvestment and distributions, and on who decides a sale? Long ownership depends on shared expectations about each of these.

What assumptions drive the projected NOI and terminal value used to support the hold? A long-term hold case depends on the projected income stream and on any anticipated development costs.

Does the property produce cash to equity after debt service and reserves? NOI alone does not show what is available to distribute or reinvest.

Sources
  • Multifamily Syndicate company handbook
  • Ten Questions With Jerry Pi of Pi Capital Partners on Developing, Fixing Midtown, and What’s Next For Queens, New York YIMBY (link)
  • LEADERS Interview with William C. Rudin, Co-Chair and Chief Executive Officer (link)
  • NYSE PLD, Company annual report (link)
  • The Single Family Office: Direct Investments edition, book by Richard C. Wilson
  • LEADERS Interview with William C. Rudin, Co-Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Eric Rudin, Co-Vice Chairman and President; Samantha Rudin, Vice President; and Michael Rudin, Vice President; Ru (link)

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